DianamRe - A smart investor always has to analyze and assess the market before deciding to go to " bet " on an upcoming project or not ? To limit the risk of investment , SMART key as mirrors clear picture of the success or failure of a real estate project before being brought to market.
An investor can understand the care they are always abreast of profits and contributions to society . In addition to the profits, investors are interested in the factors that are equally important : This project serves to? The benefits that the project will bring to the community ?
Aesthetics of the project ? Addressing the housing needs for many households ? An investor has the right perspective usually higher probability of success of that project investors putting profits above the interests of the community .
From the experience of successful investment in developing countries . We want to share more information about a different perspective of investors often use . SMART key for investors .
Specifically - Specific
When it comes to the specific , often investors have to think of the elements that make up a successful project . As the meeting point of sale products huongva . The beneficiary is anyone here ? What is their income ? Financial solutions for them ?
The selection of the right audience for the project was a success and the rapid settlement to avoid are products on the market long . Investors must have a detailed breakdown of the market analyst specialized statistics from reliable sources according to each minute detail , clarity and accuracy , as required by the investor . To have a successful project , the first factor that we want to mention that the product complies with per capita income of a country ?
Determining income beneficiaries :
It is the current per capita income of the people of Vietnam as compared with many countries in the region ? The table below analyzes income gives us an objective perspective and panorama than the average income of the current Vietnam compared to other countries in the region.
|
Growth in per capita income of some Southeast Asian countries |
|
(U.S.Dollars) |
According to the current exchange rate |
Purchasing power parity (PPP) |
|
|
1990 |
2010 |
Tăng (lần) |
1990 |
2010 |
Tăng (lần) |
|
Vietnam |
98 |
1,224 |
12.5 |
654 |
3,185 |
4.9 |
|
Singapore |
11,841 |
41,987 |
3.5 |
18,225 |
57,791 |
3.2 |
|
Indonesia |
620 |
2,950 |
4.8 |
1,450 |
4,304 |
3.0 |
|
ThaiLand |
1,495 |
4,613 |
3.1 |
8,500 |
8,500 |
3.0 |
According to the table above , the income per capita of Vietnam increased 12.5 times between 1900 to 2010 , far ahead of other countries in the table . Meanwhile , in the 20 years of the Vietnam real GDP ( expressed in terms of constant prices ) increased by only 4.4 times ( with a growth rate of average real GDP - real GDP CAGR of - 7.4 % / year ) . Because of population growth in 20 years is 1.3 times , should actually increase income per capita at constant prices by only 3.4 times ( = 4.4 / 1.3 ) .
The GDP deflator ( GDP deflator ) of Vietnam increased by 11.3 times in the period 1990-2010 . As noted above , in the same period , real GDP increased by 4.4 times and 1.3 times the population . In addition, the exchange rate increased 3 times during the same period .
Because of the big drawbacks , comparing per capita income based on GDP measured in U.S. dollars at current prices , the World Bank and other international organizations have added new calculations apply PPP ( GDP per capita the purchasing power equivalent ) as shown in Table 1 . And according to this table , the PPP per capita in Vietnam has increased 4.9 times in 20 years , not much different than when the growth in aggregate real GDP in 20 years ( 4.4 times )
Through this table above we can see , the income per capita of Vietnam is about reach 25 million / year for a project in accordance with the actual income is not easy for the investor. The cost of the project costs are included , where all charges " unnamed " and pull the long time with many layers to be licensed as a difficult problem .
Financial Solutions
Most people in the country ( over 95 % ) are purchased through the repayment of bank loans with loan period of 20 years to 30 years depending on the borrower's age , the interest rate is strictly controlled and stable government in a long time . 30,000 billion aid package as the last government was an encouraging signal . However, with a fixed time limit of three years only , and only a certain number of new objects to be borrowed . After 3 years of going to the market rate of interest prescribed by the Bank is truly a " trap " that any borrower will not hesitate to take risks . Thus, the purpose of rescue and stimulus inventory real estate market will not be achieved as desired by the people and the Government .
Mutual relationship between banks and investors as " lips with teeth " . In the context of bank financing has not been opened and is difficult to access because interest rates are too high today is really difficult problem . Most foreign investors rely on bank loans to invest in the project . Each bank is evaluating the feasibility and effectiveness of each different project . However, the perspective of investors and banks that we the " make money " rather than the " please , for " . Bank always with the business as a " capital contribution " to the same profit .
To have a successful project and the benefits to the beneficiaries , to solve housing needs are still large in the community, then the investor must have the appropriate financial solution for buyers home such as purchasing installment , repayment period , interest rates and other incentives . More importantly, investors have to build credit history and financial "clean " by the potential of the project our hopes of getting new loans from banks .
Project Cost Management
The justification of the embrace and the current owner is " cons of " . Administration expenses too cumbersome and costly but ineffective . The management costs and the cost of " no name " hog other resources of the company . From the stage of licensing, clearance , market analysis and design , consulting , construction materials , construction , monitoring , distribution , marketing , human resource management , finance and accounting , legal reason , ... it was exhausting the investors , the pain to have time for the creative minds of the product quality of the project ?
A successful investors who have to share the profits. Give portions to the extent possible for subcontractors ( subcontractors ) have the ability to help solve such as design , construction , marketing , marketing , distribution , market evaluation . Limit administrative costs with the compact yet efficient machine .
Part 3 : The base - SMART analysis of key investment real estate projects
Lecturer Huynh Anh Dung - U.S. CRS ( School of International Training Leader Real )